The problem with Duckworth Lewis is that it assumes

The problem with Duckworth Lewis is that it assumes innings progress in a predictable way: if you have scored X runs for Y wickets after Z overs, then here is the final total the innings is likely to produce. This logic just doesn’t apply to T20 where the result can hinge on such small things as one big over or a handful of dot balls. It is an exercise in trying to make the unpredictable predictable, which isn’t why people come to watch T20..

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